台指選擇權賣方如何自持?

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所有賣方說的隻字片語都不切實際，真正重要的是他如何佈局，如何調整，如何產生正負的結果，以及他能活多久，交易的快樂嗎?

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首先，賣方是一件非常難成功的事業，季融交易了很久有這個心得。一個不小心都會讓季融輸錢，有時候不小心會贏錢季融也沒有特別開心只覺得工作賺錢天經地義，但有時候會輸大錢讓季融很失望。其實是因為賣方的特性使然，沒有錯，機率上賣方占了上風，但倒賠的賠率非常可怕無限上綱。機率上的有利有時也會被心理的恐懼抵銷化為烏有。所以當賣方不能怕，不能恐懼。但季融天生膽小，所以被鑑定成不適合當賣方，但這份鑑定報告已經是季融交易很久才出來，對季融而言已經老到無法轉行了。所以他繼續當賣方，所以他現在只能求生。

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涼子對復生說: 「你要活久一點，養生一點，懂得交易一點，才有機會反敗為勝。」

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把心理壓力降下來(其實就是降口數、轉倉、價值)，才會有好的佈局和好的調整。

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Put 20口，不順的時候，Put 40口，順的時候，30口也行，在順的時候。其實20口很好，很好調。Call 維持在10口，大點數，最多20口。Put要做價差，Call如果10口的話，不需要價差，但要全心全意守在那10口的賣Call。空頭的時候，Call十口，Put儘量維持在零口左右，甚至於Put可以當買方了。其實Put 20口已經夠忙了。

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大盤真的90%的時間都很隨機(包括八月五日晚上)，以致於我懷疑世間上任何有用的指標存在，但不代表我們被剝奪了去猜轉折及持續的勇氣。

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看到智者賣方部位後才發現當賣方可以當的這麼優雅，伊索寓言中的鄉下老鼠過的日子比城市老鼠更好!

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https://www.elitetrader.com/et/t ... -to-trading.382509/


At the top, yes the very peak of this ideal persona you imagine for yourself sits a future you. Bloodied and bruised from heel to crown of head. He/she sits upon this heaping mass of hardship, tears, triumphs, realizations, victories and set backs. And atop it, you peer down at yourself and see that your eyes are craned upward in attempt to conquer this mountain made up of this self inflicted persecution(迫害) called trading. Such an uphill battle.

The struggle in itself feels the worst and yet the reward outweighs the pain. Discipline is gained and yet still, imperfections, those sometimes unavoidable aspects of the faults that lie within us rear its unwanted head as a reminder that perfection is but a dream. Loss will undoubtedly incur... but that fight for a win is what motivates an almost crazed aspiration to come out on top. This push and pull, rise and fall -- good and evil? Maybe...

The urge to conquer yourself is addicting, truly. And trading is the worst way and best way to do so. Looking in the mirror of your bad actions, inside the market, would make the earnest hearted man cry. Because truly he defeats himself, the market is just a reflection of him. And whatever victory is gained in his campaign to climb that mountain, is a step closer to conquering himself and achieving his ideals inside the market and out. Such an uphill battle...

If you're on this mountain, hats off to you.
No one knows your struggle better than you. And uphill is where you can relay your story to aspire others. Never Look Down, And See You At The Top.

-Lee

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冬日不去公園的方法就是賣Call一定要小心，其實夏天也一樣，其實賣Put也一樣。